Video 1: Course of changes in mean annual precipitation (5-year moving average) projected for the "1.5°C scenario" SSP1-1.9 compared to values simulated for 1995-2014. This scenario was simulated by only a subset of the models, so the signal-to-noise ratio here is less good; moreover, the end-of-century mean warming in this scenario relative to the comparison period is only about 0.5°C, so that only relatively small further changes (compared to the changes achieved today relative to the pre-industrial situation) are simulated.

Video 2: Course of changes in mean annual precipitation (5-year moving average) projected for the "2°C scenario" SSP1-2.6. This scenario is roughly equivalent to the CMIP5 scenario RCP2.6.

Video 3: Progression of changes in mean annual precipitation (5-year moving average) projected for the SSP2-4.5 medium scenario.

Video 4: Temporoal evolution of the changes in mean annual precipitation (5-year moving average) projected for the moderately pessimistic scenario SSP3-7.0.

Video 5: Progression of changes in mean annual precipitation (5-year moving average) projected for the pessimistic scenario SSP5-8.5.

Visualization: Michael Böttinger, DKRZ

Data preparation: Axel Lauer and Veronika Eyring, DLR

Literature: Tebaldi et al. 2021, Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 253–293, 2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-253-2021

Comparative visualizations of CMIP6 ensemble precipitation changes (annual mean)

The comparative plot of precipitation changes for different scenarios shows that the patterns of precipitation increases and decreases are systematic.

Seasonal CMIP6 ensemble precipitation changes (Mollweide)

For each of the 5 simulated SSP scenarios, a visualization using the Mollweide projection shows the seasonal cycle of the mean monthly percent precipitation changes projected by the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble for the end of the century (2071-2100) relative to precipitation calculated for the 1995-2014 period.

Seasonal CMIP6 ensemble precipitation changes (Globe)

For each of the 5 simulated SSP scenarios, a visualization shows the seasonal cycle of the mean monthly percent precipitation changes projected by the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble for 2071-2100 compared to the period 1995-2014. The data are shown here on a slowly rotating slightly tilted Earth, so that the range from the tropics to the far north can be viewed particularly well.