Consortia Simulations
Climate simulations for Europe with CLM
The regional climate model CLM, which is based on the weather forecast model "LM" by the German Weather Service, was used for ensemble simulations of regional climate changes in Europe.
For detailed analysis of potential regional impacts caused by increasing greenhouse gas emissions, the regional climate model CLM was used. Boundary conditions were taken from the results of the global IPCC AR4 simulations with ECHAM5 / MPI-OM.
A comprehensive description of the model, the experiments and their results is available in the M&D Technical Report No.3 "Ensemble Simulations over Europe with the regional Climate Model CLM forced with IPCC AR4 Global Scenarios" (2008).
Animation: mean temerature change for IPCC scenario A1B
This first animation shows the simulated regional temperature changes for IPCC scenario A1B. The land-sea-contrast in the warming pattern is clearly visible: in comparison to maritime regions, the temperature increase over the continents is likely to be much stronger.
Animation: Precipitation change in percent for IPCC A1B
The second animation shows the simulated monthly mean precititation change in percent for the end of this century compared with the end of last century, also for IPCC scenario A1B. Blue denotes an increase of precipitation, while red areas are likely to become much dryer. The changes in precipitation differ in both region and season.
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